Saturday, July 4, 2026

World Cup 2026 - The Round of 32: The Heavyweights Survive... Mostly (and Barely)

The group stage is where dreams are born. The knockout stage is where most of them die.

And the inaugural World Cup Round of 32? It delivered exactly what FIFA had hoped for: drama, surprises, heartache, and enough extra time and penalty shootouts to keep cardiologists employed for another generation.

The Expanded World Cup Is Working

Let's start here. The doomsayers said 48 teams would dilute the tournament. Instead, it has given us something precious: more stories.

Because without expansion, there is no Cabo Verde.

The tiny island nation that many casual fans couldn't find on a map took Argentina to extra time. They drew Spain. They made Lionel Messi and company sweat. Their goalkeeper, Vozinha, became an overnight folk hero. They reminded us that football isn't just played with tactical systems, billion-euro academies, and data analysts. Sometimes it's played with heart. And occasionally, heart is enough to make the giants wobble.

Cabo Verde may be going home, but they leave with something bigger than a Round of 16 ticket: they leave with everyone's respect.

So here we go, match by match:

Cabo Verde and the Beauty of the Impossible

Argentina are through.

But that's almost beside the point.

Because for 120 glorious minutes, a nation of just over half a million people looked the reigning world champions straight in the eye and refused to blink.

Cabo Verde didn't park the bus. They didn't show up simply to exchange shirts with Messi and ask for autographs. They came to play. To compete. To believe.

And for long stretches, they made Argentina look uncomfortable, ordinary, even vulnerable.Cabral's goal was applauded by Dibu Martinez himself. Then he promptly ran over to the stands for an amotional hug with his significant other. Unscripted. Genuine. Emotional.

This is why the World Cup matters.

Every four years, a tiny underdog nation gets to stand on the same field as a giant and say, "Why not us?"

Most of the time, Goliath survives.

This time, Goliath survived too.

But David left with something equally valuable: the admiration of an entire footballing world.

Argentina move on.

Cabo Verde go home.

Yet years from now, when people remember this tournament, they won't remember that Argentina won.

They'll remember that, for one magical night in Miami, a little island in the Atlantic made the world believe in impossible things again.

Auf Wiedersehen, Germany

And then there was Germany.

Another tournament, another early exit.

Paraguay sent the four-time world champions packing on penalties, and suddenly the questions become unavoidable. Was this merely a bad tournament? Or has Germany's decline from the relentless machine of 2014 become something more structural?

Either way: Auf Wiedersehen, Germany.

The Mannschaft used to arrive at World Cups with an air of inevitability. Lately, they arrive carrying baggage.

Tot ziens, Netherlands

The Dutch won't be joining us either.

Morocco followed up their magical 2022 run by knocking out another European heavyweight, proving that their success wasn't a one-off fairy tale but the result of years of investment and development.

So: Tot ziens, Oranje.

The Netherlands once again played lovely football in stretches and once again leave earlier than their talent suggests they should.

A familiar script.

Croatia and the Cruelty of Football


No team understands the cruelty of knockout football quite like Croatia.

A late equalizer, extra-time drama, and then the heartbreak of seeing a potential comeback erased by technology's cold precision. The margin was literally hair-thin!!!

Cheers to my friend (and guy a share a birthday with!) for the Portugal win. Come Monday, we may no longer be friends. At least not for a while. We-ve done this on and off after many El Classico 😏😁. We'll be fine...

Portugal survived. Croatia didn't.

And with it, the end of the road for a terrific generation, chief among them, Luka Modrić.

What a player.

No World Cup trophy, but that somehow feels irrelevant. He leaves behind something more difficult to achieve: universal admiration.

The little magician from Zadar gave us two decade of elegance, intelligence, and resilience. Football will miss him.

Belgium's Annual Chaos Continues

If there were a trophy for "Most Entertainingly Dysfunctional Team," Belgium would be perennial favorites.

Just when you think they're done, they pull off another crazy comeback and survive. Their golden generation may be fading, but their capacity for drama remains elite.

Belgium don't do easy.

England: The Art of Looking Unconvincing and Advancing Anyway

Some teams dominate.

Some teams entertain.

England simply... advance.

Not elegantly. Not convincingly. But effectively. Harry Cane saved them again.

The Three Lions scraped through once again, joining the long tradition of tournament teams that somehow keep progressing despite never quite looking like genuine contenders. Brazil had a bit of that same energy this round as well, needing to dig deep against Japan rather than steamroll them.

Tournament football has a funny way of rewarding pragmatism over aesthetics.

Still, if you're an England supporter, you'd probably prefer fewer nail-biters.

Then again, where's the fun in that?

Spain Shift Into Another Gear

The group stage version of Spain was very good.

The Round of 32 version looked downright frightening.

Austria were dispatched with a level of comfort that bordered on disrespectful. The midfield controlled everything, the press suffocated, the attack flowed, and the defense once again looked impenetrable.

This is beginning to resemble a team that knows exactly when to peak.

And that's a dangerous thing.

Spain suddenly look like a side that can beat anyone, in any style, on any stage.

The road only gets tougher from here, but for the first time in this tournament, it feels like La Roja have moved from "one of the favorites" to "the team everyone else wants to avoid."

The Rest of the Round of 32

A World Cup isn't won in the glamour fixtures alone.

Canada Keeps Making History

Canada's 1-0 win over South Africa won't make any all-time highlight reels, but that's the point. Tournament football is often about surviving, not sparkling.

The Canadians defended well, managed the game, and quietly marched into the Round of 16. There is something very un-Canadian about their growing ruthlessness. It's almost… European.

Brazil Win, But Don't Convince

Brazil beat Japan 2-1, but this wasn't vintage Seleção.

Japan led. Brazil wobbled. Then the yellow shirts did what the yellow shirts tend to do: they found another gear just in time.

The concern for Brazil is that this has happened a few times now. The aura remains, but the invincibility? Not so much.

France Are Beginning to Look Terrifying

Three goals against Sweden. Another brace for Mbappé. Another statement performance.

This French side has reached that dangerous phase where they appear to be operating in second gear while scoring at will. Depth everywhere, pace everywhere, and perhaps the most terrifying player on the planet leading the line.

France are no longer one of the favorites.

They may be the favorites.

Mexico's Party Continues

The co-hosts beat Ecuador 2-0 and now get the prize for their efforts: England.

The atmosphere in Mexico City for that one may register on the Richter scale.

England might have the better squad. They definitely won't have the crowd.

Good luck, lads.

The United States Are Dreaming Again

The United States beat Bosnia and Herzegovina 2-0 and, more importantly, looked like they belonged.

The crowds are massive. The confidence is growing. They even scored with one man down. The team appears organized and fearless.

Belgium await, which feels like one of those games that could either become an American sporting memory for the ages… or end in glorious heartbreak.

Either way, it's appointment television.

Switzerland Finally Win a Knockout Match

The Swiss waited 88 years for a World Cup knockout victory.

Eighty-eight.

Then they calmly beat Algeria 2-0.

Swiss football in a nutshell: no drama, no fuss, just quiet competence and an excellent watch collection.

Colombia and Ghana Deliver the Kind of Match We Love

One goal separated them.

One moment.

One lapse.

And Colombia are through.

Ghana bow out having once again contributed to the entertainment value of the World Cup, something they've been doing rather reliably since 2006.

What's Next?

The Round of 32 gave us exactly what the expanded format promised: more nations with a chance to dream, more stories, and just enough chaos to remind us why we love this sport.

But now comes the hard part.

The romance starts to fade.

The margins get thinner.

The contenders separate from the pretenders.

And somewhere out there, another giant is preparing to pack its bags.

The World Cup always does this.

It builds your hopes up… and then, eventually, breaks your heart.

My Predictions for the Round of 16 

Now the real tournament begins.

Canada vs Morocco

Morocco have been here before. They know how to suffer, defend, and scrape a win. They play a dynamic style of football where the player with the ball always finds 3-4 teammates that move to an empty space ready to pounce. They will be too much for Canada.

Paraguay vs France

Paraguay's reward for eliminating Germany is… Mbappé. That's just cruel. End of story.

Brazil vs Norway

Norway can hurt anybody with their physicality and directness. Most people pick Brazil here. I'm going with power over flair. In my younger years I used to love Brazil. The Brazil of Socrates, Zico, Falcao, and later Ronaldinho. This Brazil is no longer that. Nowhere near. And the Haaland story continues. Messi and Mbappe need a golden boot contender.

Mexico vs England

This feels like the trap game of the round.

Mexico City. Host nation. Ferocious atmosphere. Altitude advantage.

And yet England keep scraping through. They will do so again, probably in extra time

Portugal vs Spain

Circle this one.

The Iberian Derby.

Portugal's experience against Spain's rhythm and youthful exuberance.

My heart says Spain.

My head also says Spain. Just not as loudly.

I hope I will survive the emotional rollercoaster, as I will be in Arlington to see it in person!

United States vs Belgium

Belgium are chaos incarnate. In theory, there is enough talent there to edge this one. But the US have the home field advantage and have been playing serious football. Balogun is a huge miss for them

I wouldn't be remotely surprised by penalties. Belgium to lose, mostly because they don't deserve to be advancing thus far.

Prediction: Belgium 2-1

Argentina vs Egypt

Egypt have already overachieved. Did not show much against Australia. Argentina have Messi.

That usually settles things.

And after the Cabo Verde cold shower, the Albiceleste will adjust.

Still looking for a ticket, here in Atlanta, if anyone offers... 

Switzerland vs Colombia

The sneaky good game of the round.

Swiss organization versus Colombian flair.

I'm taking the South Americans.

And Then There Were Eight...

The expanded World Cup has given us underdogs, surprises, and more stories than we know what to do with.

But now comes the part where legends are made.

Or broken.

By late Tuesday, eight more nations will be gone.

And somewhere, another country's collective blood pressure will have reached medically inadvisable levels.

Wouldn't have it any other way.

Sunday, June 28, 2026

World Cup 2026 - Matchday 3: It's a Wrap for the Group Stage. Off to R32!

The group stage is over. The permutations are dead. The calculators can finally rest.

We now enter my favorite part of the tournament: where every game has only two outcomes.

Advance.

Or Expedia.

Group A – Viva México

Three wins from three for El Tri, who suddenly look like one of the tournament's most constant teams.

South Africa nick second place and become one of the stories of the tournament.

South Korea? Three points and still alive. But, oh, so booooooring. And zero sense of urgency even after South Africa took the lead with still half hour to go.

The Czechs? Their summer vacation starts now. Eastern European footbal is pretty much dead (with an exception here and there strenghtening the rule)

Group B – Swiss Precision

Switzerland quietly win the group because that's what Switzerland does: no drama, no fuss, just efficiency.

Canada survive and advance, but got a reality check against the Swiss.

Bosnia finish third and sneak into the knockouts. See note above regarding Eastern Europeans

Qatar's tournament can best be described as "thanks for coming."

Group C – Samba Returns

Brazil finally looked like Brazil. And Neymar got a few minutes.

Morocco remain the team nobody wants to play. But it took some work against a spirited Haiti

Scotland are officially out, and somewhere in Glasgow someone has already uttered the phrase, "Wait till 2030." Bar owners across the U.S. are letting out a heavy sigh.

Group D – Stars and Stripes

The U.S. top the group despite losing the dead rubber to Türkiye.

Australia grind out second.

Paraguay advance as one of the best third-place teams because apparently boring football pays dividends.

Türkiye let me down big time. If they didn't beat Romania in the playoffs, at least I would have been dissapointed in my home country ;-)

Group E – Achtung

Germany have looked solid.

Six points, six-goal differential, and the sense that they still have another gear. Didn't even bother with Ecuador (otherwise they would be on their flight back to Quito today)

Ivory Coast are through. So is Ecuador (still a big dissapointment for a team that finished 2nd in the South American qualifiers)

Curacao? They just found out what happens when you run into Germany.

Group F – Orange You Glad?

The Dutch win the group. Period. 

Japan continue their tradition of being incredibly difficult to eliminate.

Sweden also sneak through.

Tunisia, however, would like to forget this month ever happened.

Group G – Nobody Wanted This Group

Belgium win it.

Egypt finish second.

Iran go home unbeaten and eliminated. In dramatic fashion, with a gut-wrenching finish in the Egypt game.

If that's not football in one sentence, I don't know what is.

Group H – Cape Verde's Party Continues

Spain eventually discovered that possession without goals is just cardio. Once again, not impressed. Sure, Uruguay were oushing the limit of "physical play" and the ref allowed it, but they need to find another gear if they want to avoid an early return to Madrid.

Cape Verde are through and have become everybody's second-favorite team.

Uruguay? One of the biggest disappointments of the tournament. South Americans in general. (minus Argentina, of course)

Group I – Les Bleus Mean Business

France: nine points from nine. Easy against Norway, who rested 10 of their starters. Clearly they didn't even want to bother trying to go for first spot in the group

Norway: finally living up to the hype. They did look impressive (and imposing) in the first 2 games

Senegal: Only one win (against Iraq)... and somehow still going through on 3 points.

That's 48-team football for you.


Group J – Business as Usual

Argentina cruise through with a perfect nine points.

Austria survive.

Algeria survive too after one of the craziest final games you'll ever see. The winner of the Austria - Algeria game would go on to face Spain. The loser, Switzerland. So why on earth would anyone want to win?  Yet somehow the 3-3 result tells a different story.

Jordan's tournament? Short and not especially sweet.


Group K – Group of Intrigue

Colombia top the group. Deservedly so. They deserved to win last night

Portugal finish second and look perfectly content doing so. 

DR Congo continue to be one of the stories of the tournament.

Uzbekistan leave with memories and not many points.

Group L – England Being England

England win the group while somehow convincing absolutely nobody.

Croatia advance because tournament football is apparently their natural habitat.

Ghana also sneak through.

Panama, unfortunately, are headed home.


Now for the Round of 32:

Yup. For the first time on the history of the World Cup we have a Round of 32 stage. In Qatar we had 32 teams total. This is how a match between Egypt and Australia gets gustified in the playoff rounds. So here it goes: 

Canada over South Africa – Feel-good story meets slightly better feel-good story

Brazil over Japan – Japan's run ends, but not before making Brazil sweat

Germany over Paraguay – The Germans should not have an issue here

Morocco over Netherlands – My upset pick. Likely overtime or penalties. Someone has to zig while everyone else zags

Norway over Ivory Coast - The Vikings are imposing. Intimidating. And half their team is at least 6'3"! They only lost badly to Germany because they rested 10 starters. 

France over Sweden – France without a doubt

Mexico over Ecuador – El Tri's best tournament in years rolls on

England over DR Congo – On paper, comfortable. Which is exactly why England fans are nervous

Belgium over Senegal – Barely. Although this one could go either way. Belgium have not been all that impressive so far

USA over Bosnia & Herzegovina – The Americans keep finding ways. And they have some rested starters

Spain over Austria – Spain finally remembered where the goal is. Although Austria has been showing some reslience

Portugal over Croatia – Match of the round. But the age average for Croatia will finally play its part
 
Switzerland over Algeria – Swiss efficiency prevails. Barely. This one is a 50.5% - 49.5% (so I don't use the 50/50 cliche)

Egypt over Australia – The Pharaohs by a whisker

Argentina over Cape Verde – Messi marches on

Colombia over Ghana – Pure entertainment; probably the most fun match of the lot

Let's revisit this on July 3rd and see how many I got right...

Wednesday, June 24, 2026

World Cup 2026 - Matchday 2: The Masks Come Off

The first round gave everyone hope.

Matchday Two handed out reality.

Some teams embraced it.

Others are currently searching for excuses, referees to blame, or both.

The goals kept flying, the crowds kept showing up despite FIFA's best efforts to price them out, and several teams discovered that "potential" and "points" are not the same thing.

Two games down. One to go.

Didn't attend a game in the stadium this round (would have loved to see Spain again, but ticket prices were in the spare-a-kidney range), but did head down to the Fan Zone to watch the game. It was crowded beyond belief. Football interest in Atlanta is always real!

Let's tour the groups.


Group A: Mexico Is Doing Mexico Things

Mexico won't be winning any awards for flair, but they continue collecting points like a suburban dad collects airline miles.

Two games. Two wins. Zero goals conceded. Not pretty, but efficient.

The 1-0 win over South Korea wasn't sexy, but neither is compound interest and everybody loves the result.

South Korea remains alive, while Czechia and South Africa spent Matchday Two looking like two passengers fighting over the last lifeboat.

Verdict: Mexico already has one foot in the knockout rounds and the other on the gas pedal.

What's Next?

Mexico is through unless something truly bizarre happens. The real drama is behind them. South Korea controls its own destiny, while Czechia and South Africa are entering calculator territory. Expect ninety minutes of scoreboard watching and nervous glances at goal difference.


Group B: Canada Chose Violence

Canada's 6-0 destruction of Qatar wasn't a football match.

It was an intervention. The fact that Qatar ended the match with 9 players didn't help!

Seven goals through two matches have transformed Canada from "interesting host nation" into "please don't put them in our bracket."

Switzerland quietly dispatched Bosnia 4-1 because Switzerland remains football's equivalent of a luxury appliance: expensive, efficient, and impossible to get excited about.

Qatar, meanwhile, has conceded seven goals in two matches and currently defends with all the structural integrity of a lawn chair in a hurricane.

What's Next?

Canada and Switzerland have one hand on knockout-round tickets. Bosnia likely needs a win and some help. Qatar's qualification hopes currently require the sort of mathematical gymnastics usually reserved for tax accountants and conspiracy theorists.


Group C: Morocco Is No Longer A Surprise

Can we retire the phrase "dark horse" now?

A draw against Brazil. A win over Scotland. Four points. One goal conceded.

At some point a surprise team simply becomes a good team.

Morocco has arrived at that point. Making it to the semifinals in Qatar was not a fluke!

Brazil bounced back nicely against Haiti, but they still haven't delivered the kind of performance that makes the rest of the tournament nervous. Right now they're carrying themselves like heavyweight champions while boxing like a guy who has his mind on something else. And Raphinia getting injured won't help their cause.

Scotland's campaign continues to be aggressively Scottish: hopeful, spirited, and increasingly painful.

What's Next?

Morocco can potentially win the group. Brazil still has work to do. Scotland needs a result and probably a favor. This group has all the ingredients for last-day drama: a giant, a rising power, and a desperate underdog.


Group D: America Is Making Good Decisions. This Feels Suspicious.

The United States followed their opening four-goal performance with a calm, professional win over Australia.

No panic.

No drama.

No self-inflicted wounds.

Frankly, it's unsettling.

For decades, watching the U.S. at major tournaments has felt like supervising a talented teenager with poor judgment. This version appears mature.

Paraguay remains firmly in control of second place after dispatching Turkey, who now sit on zero points and a rapidly approaching departure gate. There is really NO excuse for a team that played an entire half against a 10-man Paraguay and still somehow managed to lose. Romania lost to Turkey in the qualifiers. Wondering if they would have done better instead ;-)

What's Next?

The U.S. can start thinking about finishing first. Paraguay controls second place. Turkey needs points, help, and possibly a small miracle. Australia isn't dead yet, but they're definitely reading the fine print.


Group E: Germany Remains Football's Tax Department

Nobody enjoys seeing them.

Nobody gets excited when they arrive.

Yet somehow they always leave with exactly what they came for.

After hanging seven on Curaçao, Germany followed up with a hard-fought win over Ivory Coast and became one of the first teams to secure passage to the knockout rounds. By a very thin margin.

Nine goals.

Six points.

Zero fuss.

Germany may not be the tournament's most entertaining team, but they remain the football equivalent of a root canal: unpleasant, inevitable, and usually effective.

What's Next?

Germany is already through and now gets to decide whether they want first place or just fewer injuries. Ivory Coast has the inside track for second. Ecuador and Curaçao are running out of road.


Group F: Orange Crush

The Netherlands delivered the performance of Matchday Two.

Their 5-1 dismantling of Sweden wasn't a football match.

It was a public execution with witnesses.

The Dutch currently look like the most complete team in the tournament. They defend, attack, transition, and generally behave like a team that actually read the assignment.

Japan deserves credit as well. A draw against the Dutch followed by four goals against Tunisia has them quietly building one of the strongest résumés in the competition.

Sweden went from potential group winner to desperately checking goal-difference calculators in about ninety minutes.

What's Next?

The Netherlands and Japan have separated from the pack, but first place remains very much available. Sweden's mission is now simple: survive. Tunisia's is significantly less simple.


Group G: Belgium's Midlife Crisis

Remember when Belgium's golden generation was going to conquer world football?

Good times.

Two matches.

Two draws.

One goal.

Enough urgency to qualify for a nap.

Watching Belgium attack right now feels like watching someone try to connect a Bluetooth speaker after three glasses of wine. Eventually something might happen, but confidence is low.

Iran deserves enormous credit. Four points and growing confidence have them looking more likely to win the group than Belgium.

Which was not on many prediction sheets.

What's Next?

Everything remains open, which is remarkable considering Belgium's efforts to avoid taking control. Iran can dream of winning the group. Belgium can still finish first. Egypt remains dangerous. This one could get weird.


Group H: Spain Finally Located The Goal

After opening with a scoreless draw against Cape Verde that had all the excitement of a six-hour layover, Spain responded by putting four past Saudi Arabia.

Progress.

The good news? Spain remembered where the goal is.

The bad news? They still occasionally seem determined to pass the ball directly into it.

Spain remains football's greatest believer in possession. If completed passes counted as goals, they'd already be engraving the trophy.

Meanwhile, Cape Verde continues to be the tournament's favorite troublemaker, following up their draw with Spain by taking points from Uruguay.

They're the guest who crashes the wedding and somehow becomes the life of the party.

What's Next?

Nobody has slammed the door shut. Spain can still win the group. Uruguay can still win the group. Cape Verde can still crash the party entirely. The final round should be equal parts football and anxiety.


Group I: France Barely Broke A Sweat

France have six points.

Five goals scored.

One conceded.

And somehow it feels like they've spent the tournament operating in second gear.

The French are treating the group stage like experienced travelers treat airport security: mildly annoying, entirely routine, and not worth getting emotional about.

Norway's dramatic win over Senegal has them positioned nicely to advance, while Senegal's margin for error now resembles airline legroom.

The scary part?

France doesn't even look warmed up yet.

What's Next?

France is essentially through and looking toward bigger challenges. Norway has the upper hand for second, while Senegal now faces a must-get-result scenario. The margin for error has officially disappeared.


Group J: Argentina Is Running A Corporate Retreat

Some teams arrive at the World Cup fueled by passion.

Argentina arrives carrying spreadsheets.

Five goals scored. None by other than the GOAT. More records broken.

Zero conceded.

Six points earned.

Everything completed ahead of schedule.

Watching Argentina navigate the group stage feels like attending a board meeting where every action item gets completed before lunch.

Efficient.

Professional.

Slightly terrifying.

Austria and Algeria are fighting for second.

Argentina is already checking hotel options for the next round.

What's Next?

Argentina has one hand on first place and the other on a knockout-round boarding pass. Austria and Algeria appear headed for a direct fight for second. Jordan's path exists, but you'll need a flowchart.


Group K: Portugal Remembered They're Portugal

After stumbling against DR Congo, Portugal responded by treating Uzbekistan like a team that had personally insulted Cristiano Ronaldo's hair.

Five goals.

Zero mercy.

Maximum damage.

And Ronaldo finally got his goals (seems like the entire team's purpose was to serve him on a platter, while he was loitering around the box waiting to poach)

Just like that, the mood shifted from "What's wrong with Portugal?" to "Oh right, that's why people picked them as contenders."

Meanwhile, Colombia and DR Congo played a scoreless draw that was organized, tactical, disciplined, and roughly as entertaining as assembling patio furniture.

Everything remains up for grabs behind Portugal.

What's Next?

Portugal suddenly controls the group. Behind them, Colombia, DR Congo, and Uzbekistan remain packed tightly together. One goal could swing this entire group from first place to elimination.


Group L: England Continues To Be England

Just when you think you've figured England out, England remembers it's England.

A thrilling 4-2 win over Croatia.

Followed by a scoreless draw against Ghana.

No nation on Earth generates more emotional whiplash per ninety minutes.

English supporters spent four days moving from "It's Coming Home" to "Burn It All Down" and back again.

The talent remains obvious.

The consistency remains theoretical.

Credit to Ghana, who defended brilliantly and refused to cooperate with England's plans. They even had a controversial penalty not given, which may have changed things entirely. And almost scored in the end. Almost...

Croatia's victory over Panama means Matchday Three will be deliciously chaotic.

Which is also England's preferred habitat.

What's Next?

England still controls the group, but Ghana and Croatia remain firmly in the hunt. Panama isn't mathematically eliminated either. In other words, this is exactly the kind of situation where England supporters start reaching for antacids.

Looking Ahead

Now comes the best part of every World Cup.

Simultaneous kickoffs.

Live tables.

Scoreboard watching.

Managers pretending they don't know the score in the other match while asking their assistants every thirty seconds.

Some teams are playing for first place.

Some are playing for survival.

Some are one bad half away from spending July explaining how they were "the better side."

And somewhere, FIFA executives are looking at another packed stadium, another sold-out fan zone, and another round of eye-watering ticket prices and thinking:

"Maybe we can charge more next time."

Matchday Three awaits.

Bring a calculator. Tums. And Prozac!


Thursday, June 18, 2026

World Cup 2026 – Matchday 1: The Good, The Bad, and The "Wait, What?"


The first round of group matches is in the books.

It's only been 7 days, but already feel like I suffer football overdose. Yet, we're merely getting warmed up!

One thing became immediately obvious: despite all the handwringing about expanding the tournament to 48 teams, Matchday 1 was anything but boring. Sure, there were a few games that felt like they should have come with a complimentary pillow, but there were also enough surprises, near-upsets, and genuine quality matches to keep things interesting.

And yes, before anyone asks...

I attended Spain vs. Cape Verde live in Atlanta.

So much for my declaration that FIFA wouldn't see another dime from me after the ticket-pricing fiasco. Apparently my principles, much like England's defense, have vulnerabilities when subjected to sufficient pressure. Clearly I have the same level of resistance to World Cup football as a moth has to a porch light.

Let's go group by group.

Group A – Mexico Makes a Statement

Mexico 2-0 South Africa
South Korea 2-1 Czechia

Mexico looked exactly like a host nation should look: organized, confident, and fully aware that the home crowd is willing to carry them the extra ten yards when their legs start getting heavy. Just three points and a nation's blood pressure temporarily returning to normal.

South Korea quietly produced one of the more impressive performances of Matchday 1. Their win over Czechia wasn't flashy, but it was efficient.

Group A may not contain a traditional heavyweight, but after one match it suddenly feels a lot more competitive than many expected. Mexico and South Korea already look like the teams to beat.

Group B – Nobody Wants to Leave

Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Switzerland 1-1 Qatar

Four teams.

Four points total.

Four goals.

Four draws would somehow have felt more appropriate.

The opening matches in Group B produced enough parity to make an accountant smile. Nobody separated themselves, nobody embarrassed themselves, and nobody gave us much clue about who advances.

The biggest story may have been Qatar earning the first World Cup point in its history thanks to a stoppage-time equalizer after being outshot 26-7. It was entirely Switzerland's fault for not killing the game as they should

Football occasionally resembles a meritocracy.

This was not one of those occasions.

This group currently feels like one giant game of rock-paper-scissors.

Group C – Scotland, Meet World Cup Reality

Brazil 1-1 Morocco
Scotland 1-0 Haiti

Morocco picked up right where they left off in Qatar four years ago. Their draw with Brazil wasn't a fluke. They defended well, remained dangerous in transition, and looked completely comfortable on the big stage.

That's not necessarily a criticism. Tournament football isn't about winning beauty contests. It's about surviving.

Brazil looked decent without looking dominant. It's been a loooong time since Brazil have actually been considered "favorites". Years ago the talent heading from Brazil to Europe resembled a flood. these days, it's merely a "trickle". Brazil is simply not producing quality players any more... Just "above average".

Meanwhile Scotland won a World Cup match and immediately entered the "could we actually win this thing?" phase of the emotional cycle.

The answer is probably no.

But let them have this.

Group D – The Americans Arrive

United States 4-1 Paraguay
Australia 2-0 Turkey

The United States delivered one of the most convincing performances of Matchday 1. Four goals, attacking intent, and enough energy to make every neutral observer start recalculating expectations.

Were Paraguay poor?

Yes.

Did the U.S. still look excellent?

Also yes.

Australia's victory over Turkey may not have generated headlines, but it was one of the most professional performances of the tournament so far. The fact that Turkey thought they won before the game even started didn't help their cause.

Group D suddenly looks much stronger than expected.

Group E – Germany Doing Germany Things

Germany 7-1 Curaçao
Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador

Seven.

That's all.

Germany scored seven goals and reminded everyone that when they smell weakness, they tend to treat football matches like laboratory experiments.

The scary part?

They never looked particularly emotional about it.

Just efficient.

Just German.

Ivory Coast quietly grabbed one of the most important wins of Matchday 1. In a group where Germany already appears destined to finish first, every point matters. The fact that they waited until the very last minute to achieve it is pointless (but does not save from an otherwise boring game.

Group F – The Most Entertaining Draw

Netherlands 2-2 Japan
Sweden 5-1 Tunisia

If you only watched one Matchday 1 game, Netherlands-Japan had a strong case.

End-to-end football. Momentum swings. Chances. Drama.

The Dutch probably leave frustrated. As the Swiss the other day, they failed to killed the game when they needed to, and got punished for it.

Japan probably leaves encouraged.

Neutral fans leave happy.

Sweden, meanwhile, delivered the biggest surprise performance of the opening round. Five goals against Tunisia was not on many prediction sheets.

Somebody in Stockholm is already browsing airfare for the knockout rounds.

Group G – The Group of Shrugs

Belgium 1-1 Egypt
Iran 2-2 New Zealand

Raise your hand if you had New Zealand scoring twice against Iran.

Exactly.

Belgium only have themselves to blame.

Group G immediately became one of the hardest groups to predict. Every team remains alive, and nobody appears particularly eager to establish themselves as favorites.

Sometimes chaos is fun.

This is one of those times.

Group H – The Group I Saw Live


Spain 0-0 Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia 1-1 Uruguay

I was there in Atlanta. Yes, after writing an entire blog post explaining why FIFA wasn't getting another dollar from me. Clearly my boycott lasted roughly as long as a New Year's gym membership.

The atmosphere was outstanding.

The football?

Let's just say nobody will be producing a Netflix documentary about the match.

Spain dominated possession, territory, and most statistical categories. But lots of sideways and backwards passing. No real threat. No incisiveness. They were predictable. Slow. Uninspired. Cape Verde defended bravely, worked relentlessly, and fully deserved the point.

The bigger issue for Spain is one that has haunted them for years: they don't have a true No. 9.

Every attack felt like watching someone spend twenty minutes assembling IKEA furniture only to discover three screws are missing.

Lots of effort.

No finished product.

Meanwhile Cape Verde arrived with a very clear tactical plan:

Defend.

Defend some more.

Then defend the defending.

And you know what?

It worked.

The 0-0 draw felt like a victory for Cape Verde, a loss for Spain, and a punishment for neutral spectators.

Elsewhere, Saudi Arabia continued its recent tradition of refusing to follow anyone else's script. Their draw against Uruguay means Group H suddenly became one of the most fascinating groups in the tournament.

Group I – Norway Announces Itself

France 3-1 Senegal
Norway 4-1 Iraq

France won.

Nobody is surprised.

France always feels like they're operating at about 75% effort until suddenly they're in a semifinal.

But Norway's performance may have been more impressive.

Four goals. Clinical finishing. Confidence. Energy. Explains how they blew away Italy in the preliminaries. 

For years we've wondered whether Norway's talented generation could finally deliver on the biggest stage.

Early signs suggest the answer might be yes. 

Group J – The Messi Retirement Tour Continues

Argentina 3-0 Algeria
Austria 3-1 Jordan

Argentina looked exactly like defending champions should look.

Controlled.

Patient.

Dangerous.

The scary thing is they rarely seem rushed.

They simply wait for opponents to make mistakes and then punish them. Messi scored a hat-trick without even trying.

The defending champions didn't just win.

They looked like they knew exactly how this tournament works.

Which, to be fair, they do.

Austria also handled Jordan comfortably, creating a likely winner-take-all showdown with Argentina later in the group.

Group K – The Shock Group

Portugal 1-1 DR Congo
Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia

Portugal's draw with DR Congo immediately became one of the biggest surprises of Matchday 1. DR Congo defended courageously, Portugal lacked sharpness, and suddenly a group many expected to be straightforward feels anything but. 

Frankly, this one is Roberto Martinez (Portugal coach). He stuck with a clearly "past-his-expiration-date" Ronaldo for the whole 90, while having so many better options on the bench. I know they all want him to break yet another scoring record, but football is a team sport, not about individual accolades. I'm sure they will bounce back, but a tie with DR Congo does not bode well for all the talent in that squad

Every World Cup produces at least one group where pre-tournament predictions get shredded before the second round begins.

Group K is volunteering.

Late last night Colombia also sweated until the last minute against Uzbekistan. You can tell they are coached by a World Cup Italian defender!

Group L – The Best Match So Far

England 4-2 Croatia
Ghana 1-0 Panama

England and Croatia produced the game of the tournament.

Six goals.

Momentum swings.

Defensive mistakes.

Individual brilliance.

Complete chaos.

At one point it looked like neither side had much interest in defending. England ultimately prevailed thanks to Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and an attack that looked frightening whenever it accelerated. 

The bad news for England?

They still conceded twice and occasionally defended like they had only recently met each other. 

The good news?

Most teams would gladly accept that trade-off.

Meanwhile Ghana quietly collected three valuable points against Panama and may have positioned themselves perfectly to become one of the tournament's surprise stories.

Final Thoughts


The first round delivered exactly what a World Cup should deliver.

A few giants stumbled.

A few underdogs believed.

A few favorites reminded us why they're favorites.

And one stubborn blogger who swore FIFA would never get another dollar out of him somehow ended up sitting in Atlanta watching Spain pass the ball sideways for ninety minutes.

The World Cup is back.

And somehow, despite everything, it's still magic.

Ready for Round 2!

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

World Cup 2026 - My Predictions

 The Beautiful Game Gets An Ugly Price Tag

As much as I’m looking forward to the World Cup (and even catching a game or two live) FIFA is doing a remarkably efficient job of sucking the joy out of it. Not just for me, but for millions of fans worldwide. Paradoxically, there’s something almost poetic about it, not in a good way: the same organization that spent decades growing the global game now seems intent on pricing it out of reach. Slowly. Methodically. And with zero remorse. The “beautiful game,” rebranded as a luxury product.

Let me put the price escalation in perspective. The first World Cup I had attended - back in 1994 - really was a tournament “for the fans”. At the time, I paid $75 for a Category 1 ticket (proof below). That’s $167 in 2026 dollars, adjusted for inflation and cost of living. The last one I experienced live (2014 in Brazil) saw prices creep up, but they still felt tethered to reality. The same category was $175 ($244 in today’s dollars) for a top-tier game between Chile (South American champion at the time) and Spain (reigning Euro champion). I was lucky enough to get a ticket to the final (which I ended up exchanging for several group-stage games). The price for a Category 2 FINAL ticket: $660 ($920 today). Expensive, sure. But still within reach for actual fans, not just corporations and hedge funds.


Today, the same type of group-game ticket for an obscure game like Congo vs. Uzbekistan is $450 for Category 2. Twice that for Cat 1. Come on! No disrespect for either country, but…. NO! The average ticket for group-stage Cat 1 across all stadiums is $620!! Yet, some games - like USA-Paraguay - are listed at $2,000 for a Cat 2 ticket (which really should be Cat 3, since it’s waaay up on the rafters; bring binoculars). A Cat 1 ticket to Spain - Saudi Arabia (albeit in a corner) is $1,500 on their portal. Official price, not resale. Straight from FIFA, delivered with a straight face. I would have really loved to watch Spain live, but NOT for that kind of money. No thank you!


Oh, and on top of it, FIFA also has a resale option on the ticketing portal, where they charge BOTH the seller and the buyer a 15% (each) “convenience” fee to facilitate that transfer. I’m wondering who is that convenient for? Clearly not the buyer. Or the seller… wink, wink…

The buzzword FIFA hides behind is dynamic pricing; a concept they conveniently introduced for this tournament to squeeze every last dollar out of demand they themselves manufactured. What they won't tell you is that matchday revenues are projected to hit $3 billion in 2026 (a jaw-dropping 216% increase over Qatar 2022, which itself generated $950 million). The overall tournament is expected to rake in nearly $11 billion (up 56% from 2022). TV rights alone account for over $4.2 billion. FIFA, by the way, is a nonprofit. Sleep well.

And if you thought that was steep, the “hospitality” packages are where things really go off the rails: $3,000 to $8,000 (group games) for the privilege of saying you didn’t just attend, you networked. As for the final, a “regular” Category 1 ticket now runs anywhere from $6,700 to $10,000. At that point, you’re not buying a seat. You’re making a financial decision that probably deserves its own spreadsheet (and a small bank loan).

Unsurprisingly, real fans are not thrilled. There’s been no shortage of criticism and outrage. FIFA’s response appears to be a collective shrug. Why would they care? They’re hosting in the United States, where eye-watering ticket prices are practically a cultural norm, and where a decent chunk of the audience is perfectly happy to pay a premium for the social media proof of attendance. The result is predictable: the World Cup, once the ultimate global fan festival, is starting to feel more like a corporate showcase with a football match attached.

Fan groups and consumer rights organizations in Europe have filed formal complaints accusing FIFA of exploiting its monopoly to impose excessive prices and unfair purchasing conditions. I’m not even going to comment on their ticket-purchasing protocols. Gianni Infantino's response? He compared World Cup tickets to NFL games and concert tickets, and suggested people don't usually complain about those prices. Remarkable. 

Meanwhile, New Jersey's governor pointed out that FIFA is pocketing $11 billion while contributing exactly $0 toward the $48 million transit bill NJ TRANSIT is left holding. In response (and an equally greedy stance, since regular price is under $15) they plan to charge $150 for a round trip ticket from Penn Station in Manhattan to MetLife Stadium. FIFA's reaction: the price hike will impact attendance and affect the experience. LOL!  So THAT will have an impact, but not the exorbitant ticket prices. That’s just precious!!! And blatantly hypocritical. 

Bottom line, everyone - and I mean everyone - is trying to price-gouge anything related to this tournament. It’s not just the tickets. Fans are staring down flights and accommodations that will likely cost two to three times their usual rates. Add it all up, and for many, the math simply doesn’t work. The atmosphere, that electric mix of fans cramming into the same pub, the same subway car, the real magic of a World Cup, that collision of cultures and accents and flags and chants, will take a huge hit. Fewer traveling fans, fewer stories in the stands. More empty seats in the early rounds. A vast majority of the fans will stay home and watch it on TV. FIFA, of course, will be just fine. Their real money comes from broadcasting rights and sponsorships anyway.

FIFA is hiding all this greed behind the veil of supply vs demand, dynamic pricing (I mentioned that already) and a statement that a portion of the proceeds will be diverted back to the individual federations. Let’s be real. We all know that any money most federations receive will be pocketed by the equally corrupt leadership of the respective federations, with a few balls and training bibs distributed to their grassroots movement, just to “keep them quiet”. We’ve seen this film before. Of course, “real” journalists won’t write about that. 


Regardless, once the tournament kicks off, fans will still enjoy it. Most, watching it on TV. Despite what FIFA tells you, a lot of the early stage games will have limited attendance. With the World Cup expanded to 48 teams, countries like Curaçao or Jordan won’t be of major interest to most. As usual, the “real” World Cup won’t start until we whittle it down to 16 teams. That’s when things will get serious, and that’s when I will likely start paying more attention (most games being played during daytime won’t help)


With all that off my chest, let’s go through my predictions. The actual football:


I don’t see many surprises in the group stages. With top 2 teams from each of the 12 groups, and another 8 best-placed 3rd place going through, the round of 32 will be very predictable also. As with any World Cup, there will be a surprise or two, but typically those “surprise” teams won’t have the stamina (and squad depth) to go too much further. Don’t get too attached.


Round of 16 will present some interesting duels. France - Germany will be one (slight edge to Les Bleus) and Brazil - Norway. Yes, Norway. They have been red-hot during the qualifiers, while Brazil continue their identity crisis. Who will go through this stage: France, Netherlands, Spain, Turkey, Norway, England, Argentina and Portugal.


Quarterfinals will pit France against Netherlands (the Dutch will exit). Spain against Turkey (no question there), Norway against England (slight edge to England) and Argentina against Portugal (the Lusitans having the better squad, in my opinion, versus an aging Albiceleste). Messi’s last game for Argentina, unfortunately…


That will call for an England - Portugal semifinal on one end (Portugal to go through) and a France - Spain on the other end. As much as I think France has a better forward line, I think Spain has a stronger midfield and would ultimately prevail. That kind of game will be won in the middle of the park. Spain just has that rhythm, that control, that ability to suffocate games without you quite noticing until it’s too late. I could be wrong (and hope I am not). It will also depend on any potential injuries on the way to the semifinal (France has more depth in their squad). Call it analysis, call it bias, call it stubborn romanticism. Ultimately, that game could go either way, and would be the unofficial final in my book. 


Spain to win it all in the end, because I’m still a hopeless romantic and think that they play the most beautiful football at the moment. But it will be a long tournament. Injuries, suspensions, and freak surprises will undoubtedly happen. Something will go sideways somewhere.

Despite all of the above, the pricing, the posturing, the slow drift away from the fans, I’ll still watch. Of course I will. Just not from the stands. From my couch, like 99% of the world. On a big screen. Where the beer is affordable, the view is perfect, and FIFA doesn’t get another dime from me.

And maybe that’s the real story of this World Cup: record revenues, record prices… and record numbers of actual fans watching from everywhere but the stadium. Turns out the “beautiful game” is still beautiful. You just need a TV subscription to see it.

Sunday, February 11, 2024

Patagonia & Beyond (9 of 9) - Half day in Bogotá


As if this trip wasn’t long enough, or didn’t have enough stops, we decided to take advantage of a long layover in Bogotá and go visit. Ok…ok…you got me…the layover was short, but we noticed another connection to Atlanta later in the afternoon, so we did it on purpose!  Booked a 6-hour private guide to “catch” a quick glimpse of the city.

With a 5 am landing, there was no amount of coffee that could keep us awake, but once David arrived, and we walked into the brisk morning air, the antennas were up! The guide startled us at first. Full of tattoos (the knuckles indicating gang affiliation) and body jewelry, didn’t fit expectations. But he spoke very good English, was personable, knowledgeable, and clearly loved his city. We stopped first at Monserrate Sanctuary – a church and pilgrimage site at 10,000 feet above sea level, which happened to be very busy that day; major Catholic holiday. Nice panoramic view of the sprawling city from up there, with the omnipresent Andes – again – far in the distance. Much larger than Santiago (it’s actually 5th biggest in South America; if you’re wondering, São Paulo, Buenos Aires, Rio de Janeiro and Lima are the top four) but significantly impacted by poverty and a tumultuous past. Not really a major tourist attraction (visitors prefer Cartagena and Barranquilla, on the coast, Medellin, or Cali, the salsa capital of Colombia), the city still has plenty to offer, if you know where to look, or go with a guide.

From there, we visited the colorful old town, where walls are adorned by beautiful murals and artistic graffiti, and the Botero museum (renowned local artist known for his unique style), just to stay with the arts theme...


Around the corner, Plaza de Bolívar, where the Primada Cathedral, Palace of Justice, the presidential palace, are located. Remember the siege in Narcos, where the guerillas took over and destroyed all the evidence against Escobar? Yeah, that Palace of Justice! 

After a bit more haggling over souvenir prices in the plaza, time for a quick bite before heading back to the airport. We always enjoy trying the local foods, so at David’s suggestion we stopped by Mama Lupe, an unassuming hole-in-the-wall to try the Ajiaco, a unique Colombian dish, especially beloved in Bogota. It's a hearty chicken soup made with potatoes and corn on the cob (the secret ingredient: papas criollas, a small yellow Andean potato that “dissolves” and thickens the soup as it cooks. Their beef sancocho (somewhere between a stew and a soup) and tamales were out-of-this world comfort food. Andrew Zimmern would be jealous…

Bellies full, we headed back to the airport for the last leg of the trip back to the States. Thankful for the opportunity to witness all these wonders. Grateful that we were all [still] in one piece. Re-playing everything behind tired, closed eyelids. Happy that it all went down without a hitch. Vouching to return soon, for there are other parts of South America to explore, where the people are warm and friendly, the nature is sooo breathtaking, the food, simply amazing, and the dollar stretches much further.

¡Hasta la próxima, amigos!


Quick jumps to all the other legs of this trip: